Operation Twist—which involves buying longer-term bonds and selling a like amount of shorter-term treasuries—is expiring at the end of this month. Additionally, Fed buys 40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities each month, under QE3.
It also took the unprecedented step on Wednesday of indicating interest rates would remain near zero until unemployment falls to at least 6. The central bank previously said it expected to hold rates near zero through at least mid, but policymakers were uncomfortable making a pledge based on the calendar rather than the economic goals they hope to achieve. However, the businesses have put their spending and hiring plans on hold in view of the fiscal cliff uncertainty.
The odds of to a deal before Christmas now seem more tenuous. This could mean trouble for commodity markets which have rallied on positive hopes that Chinese demand for commodities both Agri and Non-agri could improve in For the first time despite a favourable "Cliffhanger dacia duster" monetary policy from the FED, bullion turned lower after the announcement.
Bullion markets are heavily focussed on the quantitative easing in the United States and
Cliffhanger dacia duster prospects inunmindful of the easing demand from both the largest consumer of gold, India and China. The Indian government is bent upon curbing imports to avoid any further dent in the current account deficit and Chinese demand has also disappointed due to high prices. Price has largely been range-bound, getting a lift from of the U.
On the Cliffhanger dacia duster prices are languishing despite a weaker dollar. Gold trading volumes and the number of open futures positions in Comex have both declined in recent days as market participants leave the market during the holiday season, while others move to the side lines to avoid the volatile price environment that can occur during times of low liquidity.
Technically, we expect weakness in Comex gold and extreme volatility in the coming weeks. In MCX, while 31, caps upside, a fall to 30, levels look likely in the coming weeks. This is also with the assumption that Rupee could appreciate further. Any un expected depreciation in the Rupee could force us to trim our gold price target to 30, This is despite liquidity measures from the Federal Reserve, possible monetary easing from Japan and Europe and the
Cliffhanger dacia duster weakening against all major currencies worldwide.
The government is battling with high current account deficit and high oil prices in the international market and therefore wants the exchange rate to be less volatile which could also help fight high inflation the report cited. Domestic data flow appears to be turning around-at least for the time being. The growth reading for October that was released earlier this week surprised sharply to the upside,
Cliffhanger dacia duster in at 8.
The November inflation print marks a fall from the October reading of 7. This is likely to provide some comfort to the RBI especially since most of this moderation has been underpinned by easing core inflation. Core inflation in November softened to 4.
The recent inflation print solidifies the case for a rate cut.
Technically, the spot Rupee could be caught in the Unexpected rise above The author is not liable for any loss or Cliffhanger dacia duster, including without limitations, any profit or loss which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of above information.
Tech Science Reviews Search for: FED delivers, but cliff-hanger dampener for risky assets like commodities December 17,1: Gnanasekar Thiagarajan, Director — Commtrendz Research. He can be reached at gnanasekar. Commodities and Forex Alternative Assets-Commodities and forex markets. More than 20 years of experience commodity and forex trading. Formerly a forex dealer with Bank of Nova Scotia. More than 20 years of experience in.
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